Source: Financial Times
London— Gold is exhibiting all the classic signs of being in a structural bull market. On fears of inflation in early 2008, it rallied. Then, on fears of deflation in late 2008, it rallied again. So does gold perform better during inflation or deflation? In our view, that question is the wrong starting point. On the contrary, the rationale for owning gold, as it once again approaches the $1,000 an ounce level, is the prospect of mounting monetary disorder.
The US Federal Reserve, having flooded the market with liquidity by more than doubling its balance sheet in less than six months, may be unable or unwilling to withdraw it in time for fear of precipitating a secondary relapse in economic activity. Other central bankers will also face intense pressures to support their domestic economy by weakening the currency, leading to competitive currency devaluations. The race to the bottom in fiat currencies has begun and hard assets, particularly gold and silver, should be the primary beneficiaries. Gold is a prime candidate to become a 'mania asset' once its demand becomes chiefly financially driven as opposed to jewellery and/or industrial demand driven where its upside could be capped by “sticker shock”. See full story.
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